AI-Driven Trade Promotion Optimization and Financial ROI in CPG Firms: A Thematic and Analytical Review
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.32628/IJSRST52310381Keywords:
Artificial Intelligence, Trade Promotion Optimization, Consumer Packaged Goods (CPG), Financial Return on Investment, Machine Learning, Demand Forecasting, Promotional Efficiency, Supply Chain Integration, Digital Transformation, AI GovernanceAbstract
Trade promotion accounts for a substantial proportion of marketing expenditure within the consumer-packaged goods (CPG) sector yet historically suffers from inefficiencies and opaque return on investment (ROI). This study presents an evidence-informed thematic and analytical synthesis of artificial intelligence (AI)-driven Trade Promotion Optimization (TPO), examining its financial and operational implications. The review traces the evolution from traditional promotion management to AI-enabled predictive systems integrating machine learning, pricing optimization, and enterprise analytics. A structured AI-Driven Trade Promotion Value Realization (AI-TPO-VR) framework is introduced to link data infrastructure, algorithmic intelligence, operational integration, and measurable financial outcomes. Analytical modeling formalizes ROI estimation through incremental profit, cost savings, and inventory efficiency metrics. The findings indicate that AI enhances forecasting precision, reduces promotional leakage, improves margin performance, and strengthens cross-functional coordination. However, challenges related to data governance, organizational transformation, and ethical AI deployment remain critical determinants of success. The study concludes with strategic recommendations and outlines future research directions toward autonomous, prescriptive trade promotion systems.
Downloads
References
O. R. Tiamiyu, “Risk-Aware Machine Learning: Embedding Ethical Constraints into Predictive Models,” Journal of Frontiers in Multidisciplinary Research, vol. 4, no. 2, pp. 338–348, 2023, doi: 10.54660/.jfmr.2023.4.2.338-348. DOI: https://doi.org/10.54660/.JFMR.2023.4.2.338-348
S. O. Taiwo and O. O. Okosieme, “A Systems Thinking Approach to Data-Driven Consumer Protection: Integrating Finance, Supply Chain, and Policy,” Journal of Frontiers in Multidisciplinary Research, vol. 5, no. 2, pp. 136–147, 2024, doi: 10.54660/.ijfmr.2024.5.2.136-147. DOI: https://doi.org/10.54660/.IJFMR.2024.5.2.136-147
S. O. Taiwo, O. R. Tiamiyu, and O. M. Ayodele, “Unified Predictive Analytics Architecture for Supply Chain Accountability and Financial Decision Optimization in CPG and Manufacturing Networks,” Journal of Information Systems Engineering and Management, vol. 8, no. 4, Dec. 2023, doi: 10.52783/jisem.v8i4.37. DOI: https://doi.org/10.52783/jisem.v8i4.37
T. Samuel Oladapo and C. K. Amoah-Adjei, “Financial Risk Optimization in Consumer Goods Using Monte Carlo and Machine Learning Simulations,” Jan. 2022. doi: 10.30574/wjarr.2022.14.1.0385. DOI: https://doi.org/10.30574/wjarr.2022.14.1.0385
I. C. Okafor, “Edge-Computing Architectures for Real-Time Agricultural Decision Support Using Iot Sensor Networks,” Journal of Frontiers in Multidisciplinary Research, vol. 04, no. 02, pp. 329–337, 2023, doi: 10.54660/.JFMR.2023.4.2.329-337. DOI: https://doi.org/10.54660/.JFMR.2023.4.2.329-337
S. O. T. Samuel Oladapo Taiwo and O. O. O. Obianuju O. Okosieme, “AI-Powered Supply Chain Risk Intelligence for Consumer Protection in CPG Distribution Networks,” International Journal of Scientific Research in Computer Science Engineering and Information Technology. Technoscience Academy, p. 1008, Nov. 15, 2023. doi: 10.32628/cseit23906782. DOI: https://doi.org/10.32628/CSEIT23906782
Suman Kumar Swarnkar, “Integrating Artificial Intelligence and Data Analytics for Supply Chain Optimization in the Pharmaceutical Industry,” Journal of Electrical Systems, vol. 20, no. 3s. Science Research Society, pp. 682–690, Apr. 04, 2024. doi: 10.52783/jes.1358. DOI: https://doi.org/10.52783/jes.1358
I. C. Okafor, “An Intelligent IoT-Driven Soil Moisture Monitoring and Irrigation Optimization System for Precision Agriculture,” International Journal of Scientific Research in Computer Science Engineering and Information Technology. Technoscience Academy, p. 404, Jan. 01, 2024. doi: 10.32628/cseit2425453.
I. C. Okafor, “Designing Secure and High-Performance RESTful APIs for Data-Intensive Analytics Platforms,” International Journal of Scientific Research in Science Engineering and Technology. Technoscience Academy, p. 299, Nov. 10, 2019. doi: 10.32628/ijsrset1985217.
I. C. Okafor, “Designing a Secure and Scalable Real-time Voting System: Analyzing a Successful Real-time Voting System Implementation,” World Journal of Advanced Research and Reviews, vol. 4, no. 2. GSC Online Press, pp. 291–306, Dec. 31, 2019. doi: 10.30574/wjarr.2019.4.2.0158. DOI: https://doi.org/10.30574/wjarr.2019.4.2.0158
I. C. Okafor, “Re-Architecting Legacy Multi-Page Enterprise Applications into Scalable Single-Page Architectures: A Performance and Revenue Impact Study,” International Journal of Scientific and Management Research, vol. 2, no. 3, pp. 42–66, 2019.
O. G. Henry-Machame, “Reimagining Enterprise Transformation: A Multi-Dimensional Framework for Sustainable Value Realization,” Apr. 2023. [Online]. Available: https://eudoxuspress.com/index.php/pub/article/view/4735
I. C. Okafor, “Visual Analytics for Measuring and Improving Collaborative Software Development in Academic Environments,” Journal of Frontiers in Multidisciplinary Research, vol. 1, no. 1. Anfo Publication House, pp. 210–219, 2020. doi: 10.54660/.ijfmr.2020.1.1.210-219. DOI: https://doi.org/10.54660/.IJFMR.2020.1.1.210-219
I. C. Okafor, “An Intelligent IoT-Driven Soil Moisture Monitoring and Irrigation Optimization System for Precision Agriculture,” Feb. 2024. doi: 10.32628/CSEIT2425453. DOI: https://doi.org/10.32628/CSEIT2425453
I. C. Okafor, “Designing Secure and High-Performance RESTful APIs for Data-Intensive Analytics Platforms,” International Journal of Scientific Research in Science Engineering and Technology. Technoscience Academy, p. 299, Nov. 10, 2019. doi: 10.32628/ijsrset1985217. DOI: https://doi.org/10.32628/IJSRSET1985217
S. O. T. Samuel Oladapo Taiwo, “PFAITM: A Predictive Financial Planning and Analysis Intelligence Framework for Transforming Enterprise Decision-Making,” International Journal of Scientific Research in Science Engineering and Technology. Technoscience Academy, p. 472, Oct. 17, 2022. doi: 10.32628/ijsrset25122272. DOI: https://doi.org/10.32628/IJSRSET25122272
O. Anifowose, “Augmented Decision Intelligence: Leveraging AI and Predictive Analytics for Executive Strategy Formulation,” Journal of Computational Analysis and Applications, vol. 31, no. 3, pp. 750–777, Mar. 2023, [Online]. Available: https://eudoxuspress.com/index.php/pub/article/view/4136
O. Anifowose, “The Business Analytics Value Chain: Aligning Data Strategy with Corporate Performance Metrics,” Journal of Computational Analysis and Applications, vol. 33, no. 1A, pp. 751–766, Jan. 2024, [Online]. Available: https://eudoxuspress.com/index.php/pub/article/view/4166
M. O. Lawal, “Next-Generation GRC Framework: Integrating ESG and Cyber Risk Metrics,” Journal of Computational Analysis and Applications, vol. 31, no. 3, pp. 778–795, Mar. 2023, [Online]. Available: https://eudoxuspress.com/index.php/pub/article/view/4141
M. O. Lawal, “Human-AI Collaboration in Security Operations Centers (SOC 2. 0): Opportunities, Challenges, and Pathways Forward,” Journal of Computational Analysis and Applications, vol. 33, no. 8, pp. 7156–7175, Aug. 2024, [Online]. Available: https://eudoxuspress.com/index.php/pub/article/view/4138
E. Areghan and O. S. Ndibe, “Explainable AI for Autonomous Threat Detection in Critical Infrastructure Systems,” Journal of Computational Analysis and Applications, vol. 33, no. 8, pp. 6841–6857, Aug. 2024, [Online]. Available: https://eudoxuspress.com/index.php/pub/article/view/4026
O. Oloruntoba, S. O. Fakunle, B. Wahab, and B. L. Ogunsanmi, “Impact of Database Migration on Application Performance : A Case Study of Database Migration from AWS to GCP,” International Journal of Scientific Research in Science, Engineering and Technology. Technoscience Academy, pp. 424–436, Nov. 16, 2023. doi: 10.32628/ijsrset25122168. DOI: https://doi.org/10.32628/IJSRSET25122168
G. U. Uke, “Lean Six Sigma-Driven Maintenance Process Optimization in African Manufacturing Industries: A Systematic Literature Review,” Journal of Computational Analysis and Applications, vol. 29, no. 6, pp. 1346–1366, Jun. 2021, [Online]. Available: https://eudoxuspress.com/index.php/pub/article/view/4028
G. U. Uke, “Circular Economy and Asset Life Extension: Engineering Approaches for Industrial Sustainability,” Journal of Computational Analysis and Applications, vol. 25, no. 8, pp. 134–152, Aug. 2018, [Online]. Available: https://eudoxuspress.com/index.php/pub/article/view/4137
M. Ianenko, M. Ianenko, D. Huhlaev, and O. Martynenko, “Digital transformation of trade: problems and prospects of marketing activities,” IOP Conference Series: Materials Science and Engineering, vol. 497. IOP Publishing, p. 012118, Apr. 03, 2019. doi: 10.1088/1757-899x/497/1/012118. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1088/1757-899X/497/1/012118
A. O. Salami, “Leveraging Natural Language Processing to Detect Non-Compliance in Clinical Documentation: Current Advances, Challenges, and Future Directions,” International Journal of Scientific Research in Science, Engineering and Technology. Technoscience Academy, pp. 459–473, Oct. 17, 2023. doi: 10.32628/ijsrset2513822. DOI: https://doi.org/10.32628/IJSRSET2513822
Oluwabukola Racheal Tiamiyu and Ogochukwu Susan Ndibe, “From Compliance Burden to Enforcement Precision : AI Strategies for Reducing False Positives in Anti-Money Laundering Systems,” International Journal of Scientific Research in Science, Engineering and Technology, vol. 11, no. 5. Technoscience Academy, pp. 421–433, Sep. 30, 2024. doi: 10.32628/ijsrset2513837. DOI: https://doi.org/10.32628/IJSRSET2513837
O. S. Ndibe, “National Cyber Resilience Index: A Data-Driven Framework for Measuring Preparedness,” Journal of Computational Analysis and Applications, vol. 33, no. 1A, pp. 729–750, Jan. 2024, [Online]. Available: https://eudoxuspress.com/index.php/pub/article/view/4030
M. Sayyadi, “How to improve data quality to empower business decision-making process and business strategy agility in the AI age,” Business Information Review, vol. 41, no. 3. SAGE Publications, pp. 124–129, Jun. 25, 2024. doi: 10.1177/02663821241264705. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1177/02663821241264705
S. O. Taiwo, O. O. Aramide, and O. R. Tiamiyu, “Blockchain and Federated Analytics for Ethical and Secure CPG Supply Chains,” Journal of Computational Analysis and Applications, vol. 31, no. 3, pp. 732–749, Mar. 2023, [Online]. Available: https://eudoxuspress.com/index.php/pub/article/view/4024
J. Mwangi, “Analyzing the Role of Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning in Optimizing Supply Chain Processes in Kenya,” International Journal of Supply Chain Management, vol. 9, no. 1. IPR Journals and Books (International Peer Reviewed Journals and Books), pp. 39–50, Feb. 21, 2024. doi: 10.47604/ijscm.2322. DOI: https://doi.org/10.47604/ijscm.2322
S. O. Taiwo, O. O. Aramide, and O. R. Tiamiyu, “Explainable AI Models for Ensuring Transparency in CPG Markets Pricing and Promotions,” Journal of Computational Analysis and Applications, vol. 33, no. 8, pp. 6858–6873, Aug. 2024, [Online]. Available: https://eudoxuspress.com/index.php/pub/article/view/4027
J. Björkdahl, “Strategies for Digitalization in Manufacturing Firms,” California Management Review, vol. 62, no. 4. SAGE Publications, pp. 17–36, May 05, 2020. doi: 10.1177/0008125620920349. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1177/0008125620920349
M. Alirezaie, W. Hoffman, P. Zabihi, H. Rahnama, and A. Pentland, “Decentralized Data and Artificial Intelligence Orchestration for Transparent and Efficient Small and Medium-Sized Enterprises Trade Financing,” Journal of Risk and Financial Management, vol. 17, no. 1. MDPI AG, p. 38, Jan. 18, 2024. doi: 10.3390/jrfm17010038. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm17010038
H. Younis, B. Sundarakani, and M. Alsharairi, “Applications of artificial intelligence and machine learning within supply chains:systematic review and future research directions,” Journal of Modelling in Management, vol. 17, no. 3. Emerald, pp. 916–940, Aug. 30, 2021. doi: 10.1108/jm2-12-2020-0322. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/JM2-12-2020-0322
Y. Li, Z. Yang, J. Sun, and X. Hu, “Pricing Strategies of AI-enabled and Regular Products,” 2022 IEEE International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management (IEEM). IEEE, pp. 0859–0863, Dec. 07, 2022. doi: 10.1109/ieem55944.2022.9989923. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1109/IEEM55944.2022.9989923
Sharanya Manubrahma, S. Shireesha, and T. Varalakshmi, “Effect of Change Management Strategies on Organizational Transformation,” International Research Journal on Advanced Engineering and Management (IRJAEM), vol. 2, no. 05. RSP Science Hub, pp. 1580–1583, May 30, 2024. doi: 10.47392/irjaem.2024.0215. DOI: https://doi.org/10.47392/IRJAEM.2024.0215
Z. Tasheva and V. Karpovich, “TRANSFORMATION OF RECRUITMENT PROCESS THROUGH IMPLEMENTATION OF AI SOLUTIONS,” Journal of Management and Economics, vol. 04, no. 02. European International Journal of Multidisciplinary Research and Management Studies, pp. 12–17, Feb. 01, 2024. doi: 10.55640/jme-04-02-03. DOI: https://doi.org/10.55640/jme-04-02-03
R. E. Glasgow, “Evaluating the impact of health promotion programs: using the RE-AIM framework to form summary measures for decision making involving complex issues,” Health Education Research, vol. 21, no. 5. Oxford University Press (OUP), pp. 688–694, May 15, 2006. doi: 10.1093/her/cyl081. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/her/cyl081
Z. Dinul Khaq, V. K. Subroto, and E. Susanto, “AI-driven Strategies for Enhancing MSME Sales and Business Communication: A Case Study,” Journal of Management and Informatics, vol. 3, no. 2. Universitas Sains dan Teknologi Komputer, pp. 180–194, Aug. 22, 2024. doi: 10.51903/jmi.v3i2.28. DOI: https://doi.org/10.51903/jmi.v3i2.28
J. P. Meltzer, “The Impact of Foundational AI on International Trade, Services and Supply Chains in Asia,” Asian Economic Policy Review, vol. 19, no. 1. Wiley, pp. 129–147, Nov. 05, 2023. doi: 10.1111/aepr.12451. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/aepr.12451
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2024 International Journal of Scientific Research in Science and Technology

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0